Frequency Of Love: First Week Streams

10 outcomesSettles Oct 11, 2026 (5d)
50/50 line72%Above 10M
Line nearest 50/50
72%
Above 10M
Market median
500M
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$306
$4K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 7.5M 90% +14
Above 50K 88% +1
Above 100K 88% +1
Above 250K 88% +2
Above 500K 88% +3
Above 1M 88% +1
Above 10M 72% +34

What the market expects

median 500M

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

All outcomes

10
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 3.5M 99% — $22 $22
Above 5M 95% — $21 $231
Above 7.5M 90% +14.0 $20 $220
Above 50K 88% +1.0 $20 $621
Above 100K 88% +1.0 $20 $707
Above 250K 88% +2.0 $20 $347
Above 500K 88% +3.0 $21 $431
Above 1M 88% +1.0 $21 $541
Above 2M 75% — $21 $21
Above 10M 72% +34.0 $120 $570

Same series