What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 74%, implying a 74% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 108

Closes Oct 07, 2026 (20d) 24h volume 1.1K Open interest 2.3K Event Amazon Credit Card Spend in September

74%

implied YES probability

Last 10 days · High 86% · Low 56% · 7d +16.2pp

AMZN Amazon.Com Inc

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.