What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Hiroki Moriya

Closes Sep 29, 2026 (12d) 24h volume 425.8K Open interest 167.9K Event Ellis vs Moriya

implied YES probability

-53.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 54% · Low 19%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.