What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 82%, implying a 82% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 25, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Ben Shelton

Closes Sep 25, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 4.4M Open interest 2.9M Event Tiafoe vs Shelton

82%

implied YES probability

+9.5pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 73% · Low 73%

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 82.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.