What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

D-House, D-Senate

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (229d) 24h volume 3.3K Open interest 1.0M Event 2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

40%

implied YES probability

Last 91 days · High 52% · Low 40% · 7d -2.4pp · 30d -2.4pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 40.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.