What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (149d) 24h volume 48.6K Open interest 142.2K Event Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 35 days · High 38% · Low 1% · 7d +600.0pp · 30d 0.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 1.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.