What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 63%, implying a 63% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Closes Oct 04, 2027 (474d) 24h volume 90 Open interest 4.1K Event Brazil presidential election: first round winner?

63%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 45 days · High 73% · Low 46% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d +25.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.