What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 74%, implying a 74% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Flávio Bolsonaro

Closes Oct 04, 2027 (381d) 24h volume 1.5K Open interest 21.0K Event Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

74%

implied YES probability

Last 33 days · High 89% · Low 73% · 7d -7.5pp · 30d +1.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.