What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

$69,000 or above

Closes Aug 14, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 467 Open interest 14.4K Event BTC price on Aug 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

implied YES probability

Last 3 days · High 6% · Low 1%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.