What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

$76,000 or above

Closes Aug 14, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 467 Open interest 1.4K Event BTC price on Aug 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

implied YES probability

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.