What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

$76,000 or above

Closes Sep 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 58.5K Open interest 27.8K

4%

implied YES probability

+3.5pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 8.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.