What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

$79,250 or above

Closes Sep 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 3.9K Open interest 3.6K Event BTC price on Sep 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

4%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 4% · Low 4%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.