What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

$79,500 or above

Closes Sep 18, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 3.6K Open interest 10.5K Event BTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

8%

implied YES probability

-13.5pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 29% · Low 12%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.