What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

$80,500 or above

Closes Sep 18, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 5.2K Open interest 9.7K Event BTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

4%

implied YES probability

-11.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 19% · Low 7%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.