kalshi
Elections
Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?
In 2026
34%
implied YES probability
+2.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 43% ·
Low 15%
· 7d +2.9pp
· 30d +2.9pp
Recent news mentioning this market
-
California Democratic Party backs controversial billionaire wealth tax proposal that's on state's 2026 ballot
Fox Business Latest · 3h ago
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.0¢ | 27 | 34.0¢ | 17 | |
| 32.0¢ | 90 | 35.0¢ | 199 | |
| 31.0¢ | 2500 | 36.0¢ | 8699 | |
| 30.0¢ | 1 | 37.0¢ | 5100 | |
| 29.0¢ | 5500 | 39.0¢ | 7630 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 33.5¢
Trade on Kalshi
Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.