What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

In 2026

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 3.2K Open interest 137.1K Event Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

20%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 47% · Low 18% · 7d -44.7pp · 30d -36.4pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.