What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

At least $52,150

Closes Sep 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 50 Open interest 50 Event Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT

54%

implied YES probability

+54.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 72% · Low 72%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.