What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 25, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Extreme Fear

Closes Sep 25, 2026 (9d) 24h volume 1.1K Open interest 2.8K Event Fear & Greed Index on Sep 18, 2026?

22%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 21% · Low 10%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.