What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 82%, implying a 82% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Projection

Closes Sep 17, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 2.5K Open interest 10.7K Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?

82%

implied YES probability

+4.5pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 85% · Low 67% · 7d +3.8pp · 30d +12.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.