What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Half-Life 3

Closes Dec 31, 2027 (562d) 24h volume 221 Open interest 56.3K Event The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 45 days · High 11% · Low 2% · 7d +50.0pp · 30d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.