What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Before December 2026

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (167d) 24h volume 2.1K Open interest 61.2K Event Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date

84%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 36 days · High 89% · Low 74% · 7d -3.6pp · 30d +1.3pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 76.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.