kalshi
Climate and Weather
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Hottest
53%
implied YES probability
+12.2pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 47% ·
Low 21%
· 7d +45.5pp
· 30d +95.4pp
Recent news mentioning this market
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Earnings call transcript: Douglas Dynamics posts record Q2 2026, shares fall
Investing.com · 43 min ago
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Earnings call transcript: Biome posts record FY 2026 sales, cash flow in Q4 2026
Investing.com · 15h ago
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.7¢ | 26 | 34.6¢ | 146 | |
| 31.6¢ | 3 | 34.7¢ | 500 | |
| 29.3¢ | 5 | 35.0¢ | 10 | |
| 29.2¢ | 46 | 35.3¢ | 120 | |
| 29.1¢ | 500 | 35.5¢ | 95 |
Spread 2.9¢ · Mid 33.1¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.