What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 68%, implying a 68% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Hottest ever

Closes Sep 16, 2026 (36d) 24h volume 1.8K Open interest 7.8K Event This Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever?

68%

implied YES probability

+7.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 61% · Low 8% · 7d -25.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.