What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Matthew Shearer

Closes Sep 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 673.9K Open interest 355.6K Event Dong vs Shearer

44%

implied YES probability

+44.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 38% · Low 38%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.