What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Carlota Moreno

Settles Oct 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Refaat vs Moreno

chance of YES0%

Price range (14h)

1–44%

24h volume

311.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

215.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$63K

0% on YES

hourly, 14h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 5:49 PM ET	NO	97¢	2,153	$2K
Oct 2, 5:49 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,627	$2K
Oct 2, 5:49 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,567	$2K
Oct 2, 5:49 PM ET	NO	91¢	1,886	$2K
Oct 2, 5:49 PM ET	NO	91¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 2, 5:49 PM ET	NO	92¢	3,014	$3K
Oct 2, 5:49 PM ET	NO	91¢	2,428	$2K
Oct 2, 5:48 PM ET	NO	87¢	3,269	$3K
Oct 2, 5:46 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,724	$2K
Oct 2, 5:45 PM ET	NO	97¢	5,695	$6K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.