What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 06, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Social

In 2026

Closes Jul 06, 2027 (281d) 24h volume 21 Open interest 1.5K Event Will NYC add a new 3 Michelin Star restaurant in 2026?

20%

implied YES probability

-54.5pp 24h

Last 50 days · High 70% · Low 6% · 7d +16.7pp · 30d -32.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.