What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

a new Xbox video game console

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 67 Open interest 13.5K Event New Xbox this year?

16%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 85 days · High 18% · Low 6% · 7d +21.4pp · 30d +54.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.