What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 21, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Fred Warner

Closes Feb 21, 2028 (526d) 24h volume 5.3K Open interest 38.8K Event Comeback Player of the Year Winner?

implied YES probability

-0.5pp 24h

Last 13 days · High 5% · Low 1% · 7d +400.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.