What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 76%, implying a 76% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 06, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 11.4 billion

Closes May 06, 2027 (277d) 24h volume — Open interest 17 Event Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026

76%

implied YES probability

-0.5pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 76% · Low 76%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.