What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 06, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 12 billion

Closes May 06, 2027 (277d) 24h volume — Open interest 13 Event Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026

18%

implied YES probability

Last 3 days · High 18% · Low 15%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.