What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Before election day 2026

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 1.6K Open interest 90.1K Event Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

18%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 90 days · High 23% · Low 13% · 7d +11.1pp · 30d +11.1pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.