What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 29, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 18000

Closes Jan 29, 2027 (134d) 24h volume 40 Open interest 1.8K Event Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3

12%

implied YES probability

Last 11 days · High 31% · Low 10% · 7d +20.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.