What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 47

Settles Oct 05, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Digger · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES96% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

62–99%

24h volume

5.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

25.8K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

91¢ / 92¢

spread 1.0¢

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 91.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 1, 4:44 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,063	$1K
Oct 1, 2:42 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,016	$2K
Oct 1, 8:27 AM ET	YES	93¢	3,000	$3K
Sep 30, 11:03 PM ET	YES	92¢	2,500	$2K
Sep 30, 1:03 PM ET	YES	76¢	3,035	$2K
Sep 30, 1:03 PM ET	YES	71¢	1,733	$1K
Sep 29, 5:43 PM ET	YES	88¢	2,609	$2K
Sep 29, 5:28 PM ET	YES	86¢	1,508	$1K
Sep 29, 5:13 PM ET	YES	85¢	1,500	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.