What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 94%, implying a 94% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 48

Settles Oct 05, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Digger · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES94% +3.0pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

47–98%

24h volume

27.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

47.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

98¢ / 99¢

spread 1.0¢

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 98.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 11:19 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 2, 12:37 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 1, 10:01 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,580	$3K
Oct 1, 9:14 PM ET	YES	96¢	2,516	$2K
Oct 1, 6:53 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,170	$2K
Oct 1, 4:44 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,630	$2K
Oct 1, 3:23 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,455	$1K
Oct 1, 11:19 AM ET	YES	92¢	5,954	$5K
Oct 1, 8:35 AM ET	YES	87¢	6,000	$5K
Oct 1, 8:25 AM ET	YES	81¢	8,991	$7K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.