What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 76%, implying a 76% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 35

Settles Oct 05, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Verity · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES76% -20.5pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

53–99%

24h volume

11.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

13.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$4K

100% on YES

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Sep 30, 10:40 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,673	$3K
Sep 29, 9:53 PM ET	YES	90¢	1,200	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.