What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 45

Settles Oct 05, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Verity · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES2% -7.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

10–93%

30d -87 pts · 7d -88 pts

24h volume

11.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

19.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$4K

34% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 11:32 AM ET	NO	99¢	1,282	$1K
Oct 1, 11:59 AM ET	NO	82¢	2,000	$2K
Sep 28, 10:45 PM ET	YES	77¢	1,900	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.