What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 72%, implying a 72% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Abdul El-Sayed

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 2.3K Open interest 229.4K Event Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

72%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 90 days · High 73% · Low 19% · 7d +1.4pp · 30d +29.1pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 62.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.