What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 9%, implying a 9% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

SoFi

Closes Sep 30, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 401 Open interest 5.8K Event Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 40 days · High 27% · Low 4% · 7d -47.8pp · 30d -33.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.