What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Apr 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 500000 in a single quarter

Closes Apr 01, 2027 (288d) 24h volume 47 Open interest 33.9K Event How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?

20%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 65 days · High 32% · Low 10% · 7d +17.6pp · 30d +25.0pp

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.