What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Apr 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 500000 in a single quarter

Closes Apr 01, 2027 (197d) 24h volume 385 Open interest 31.4K Event How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?

56%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 37 days · High 63% · Low 20% · 7d +9.3pp · 30d +118.5pp

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.