What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 76%, implying a 76% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

First Term

Closes Oct 07, 2026 (21d) 24h volume 2 Open interest 1.2K Event What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

76%

implied YES probability

-2.5pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 79% · Low 68% · 7d -12.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.