What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Israel / Israeli

Closes Oct 07, 2026 (21d) 24h volume 4 Open interest 358 Event What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

78%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 89% · Low 79% · 7d -2.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.