What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Eli Lilly / LLY

chance of YES100%

Price range (20h)

82–99%

24h volume

1.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 20h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

eBay95%3.2K