What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

TSMC / TSM

Closes Sep 01, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 586 Event What companies will Trump say in August?

34%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 40% · Low 31% · 7d -8.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.