What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Mark Kelly

Closes Nov 07, 2028 (826d) 24h volume 99 Open interest 54.9K Event 2028 Democratic VP nominee

implied YES probability

Last 60 days · High 5% · Low 4% · 7d -4.1pp · 30d -4.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.