What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

$94.00 to $94.99

Closes Sep 04, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 2.5K Open interest 3.0K Event Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026?

implied YES probability

-0.5pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 7% · Low 2%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.