What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Michael Whatley

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (411d) 24h volume 33.1K Open interest 655.1K Event North Carolina Senate winner?

implied YES probability

-0.6pp 24h

Last 80 days · High 15% · Low 7% · 7d -26.0pp · 30d -9.8pp

Spread 0.6¢ · Mid 7.7¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.