What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?

September 30, 2026

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (508d) 24h volume $193 Open interest $6.6K Event Will Oro launch a token by ___?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 67 days · High 50% · Low 4% · 7d -70.4pp · 30d -78.5pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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ORO Arrow Valtoro ETF

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.