What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Finance

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Apple

Closes Aug 31, 2026 (30d) 24h volume $4.4K Open interest $30.3K Event 2nd Largest Company end of August?

50%

implied YES probability

-3.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 17 days · High 64% · Low 36% · 7d -10.6pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

Related stocks

AAPL Apple Inc.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.