polymarket
Technology
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
84%
implied YES probability
+3.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 90% ·
Low 12%
· 7d -1.7pp
· 30d -5.1pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.