What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

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Will Umar Nurmagomedov win by KO or TKO?

Nurmagomedov to win by KO/TKO?

Closes Aug 30, 2026 (5d) 24h volume $18 Open interest $18.4K Event UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

50%

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Price history

Not enough price history yet.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.