What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 62%, implying a 62% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Finance

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Alphabet

Closes Aug 31, 2026 (30d) 24h volume $5.9K Open interest $46.1K Event 3rd Largest Company end of August?

62%

implied YES probability

+12.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 17 days · High 92% · Low 62% · 7d -29.8pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

Related stocks

GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.